Entry tags:
General election murblings
I have been saying for some time that I really need to look at voting statistics for my borough in order to determine whether I need to vote for my (mostly competent, keeps trying to pick twitter fights with Julian Huppert) Labour MP Andrew Slaughter in order to avoid a Tory, or whether Andy's sufficiently safe that I can vote LD or Green instead depending on policies and candidates.
As it turns out, there isn't enough record to make a good call because the borough's only bloody existed since like 2010 (in its most recent incarnation; it previously existed 1885-1918 and 1983-1997, but I'm not poking at boundary maps hard enough to work out whether that's meaningful for my purposes). Anyway, it looks like Andy's sufficiently safe that I can vote according to my politics + desire for candidates without risking getting a bloody Conservative in; which means I will wait for Green & LD candidates to be announced and then make my mind up. (For all Andy annoys me he does mostly respond plausibly to letters and I approve of his interactions with the NHS, so.)
As it turns out, there isn't enough record to make a good call because the borough's only bloody existed since like 2010 (in its most recent incarnation; it previously existed 1885-1918 and 1983-1997, but I'm not poking at boundary maps hard enough to work out whether that's meaningful for my purposes). Anyway, it looks like Andy's sufficiently safe that I can vote according to my politics + desire for candidates without risking getting a bloody Conservative in; which means I will wait for Green & LD candidates to be announced and then make my mind up. (For all Andy annoys me he does mostly respond plausibly to letters and I approve of his interactions with the NHS, so.)
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~K.
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Last time out it was important to dump Labour who were turning us into a nanny state. Now it looks like the UK is becoming a police state (although the previous government weren't exactly blameless for that either) so it's necessary to work out who might stop that.
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[1] Actually, I'm not sure that's even true any more.
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In this case, I think Slaughter is safe. He had a substantial majority at the last election, the worst for Labour in many decades, and both the Tories and (especially) the Lib Dems are now much less popular. That looks like a very safe Labour seat to me...
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What I *really* hope is that we get an (entirely possible) situation where the Tories come first in votes but second in seats, Labour second in votes but second in seats, UKIP third in votes but with no seats at all, the SNP fourth in votes and seats, and the Lib Dems fifth in votes and third in seats, and end up with a Lib-Lab coalition.
In a situation like that, where we get a completely *stupid* result, electoral reform might be a possibility again...
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(possibly you meant to say "Labour second in votes but first in seats"?
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